Wednesday, March 12, 2014


Market Comment

US indices declined on Tuesday, pressured by shares in the Automobiles & Components, Banks and Energy sectors. The S&P 500 (1867.63) remains above its 20d moving average (18449.9 - positive slope) and its 50d moving average (1828.4 - positive slope).

European markets are expected to open on a negative note.

Foreign Exchange

US Dollar was mixed against most of its major counterparts on Tuesday. On the US economic data front, NFIB Small Business Optimism index fell to 91.4 (93.8 expected) in February from 94.1 the previous month. Wholesale inventories rose 0.6% MoM (+0.4% expected) in January after an upwardly revised 0.4% gain the prior month.

The Euro was mixed against its major counterparts. In Europe, Germany trade balance was an excess of E15B in January, as expected, compared to an excess of E13.9B in December. Exports increased by 2.2% while imports were up by 4.1%.


After the close of Wall Street, WTI Crude Future (APR 14) was down $1.4 to $99.73. The contract was above its 20D MA (@ $95.67) and above its 50D MA (@ $96.35).

Gold was up $7.8 to $1347.5. The precious metal was above its 20D MA (@ $1329) and above its 50D MA (@ $1281).

Copper Future (MAY 14) on Comex was down 8.2c to 294.95c/lb. The contract was below its 20D MA (@ 330.62c) and below its 50D MA (@ 326.76c). The 14d RSI below 30 (28.17) indicates Copper Future (MAY 14) contract was oversold. In Europe, the London Metal Exchange reported its copper inventories decreased 7800 tons to 257600 tons.

European Markets

ECB: Publication of the Euro area securities issues statistics (10am CET); Speech by Mr. Praet at debate "Current issues in and challenges for central bank communication" at the ECB and its Watchers XV conference organised by the Center for Financial Studies in Frankfurt, Germany (9am CET)

Today's Economic Events

FR 06:30: 1Q Non-Farm Payrolls (QoQ): NA
EC 10:00: JAN Euro-Zone: Industrial Production (MoM): 0.5%
US 14:30: W9 Crude Oil Inventories (WoW chg): 1850

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