Thursday, May 1, 2014


Market Comment

US indices rose on Wednesday, led by shares in the Commercial & Professional Services, Automobiles & Components and Media sectors. The Fed said it will continue to reduce its monthly bond purchases by $10B to $45B. The S&P 500 (1883.95) remains above its 20d moving average (1863.2 - flat slope) and its 50d moving average (1860.8 - positive slope).

European markets are expected to start on a flat note.

Foreign Exchange

US Dollar was under pressure against most of its major counterparts on Wednesday. On the US economic data front, MBA Mortgage Applications for the week ended April 25th dropped 5.9%. Companies added 220K (210K expected) workers in April according to the ADP report while GDP grew at a 0.1% annualized rate in 1Q. Chicago Purchasing Manager index jumped to 63.0 (57.0 expected) in April from 55.9 the previous month. The Fed said it will continue to reduce its monthly bond purchases by $10B to $45B.

The Euro was mixed against its major counterparts. In Europe, euro-zone CPI index was up by 0.7% in April YoY after a 0.5% increase the month before. Economists anticipated a 0.8% gain. German retail sales decreased by 0.7% in March, as expected, after a 0.4% increase in March (revised from +1.3%). Still in Germany, unemployment was down by 25K in April after a 14K decrease in March (revised from -12K). Economists anticipated a 10K drop. Unemployment rate was 6.7%, flat MoM.


After the close of Wall Street, WTI Crude Future (JUN 14) was down $1.4 to $99.88. The contract was below its 20D MA (@ $100.59) and below its 50D MA (@ $100.09). The US Department of Energy reported that, for the week ended 25 April, crude oil inventories increased 1698k barrels compared to the previous week.

Gold was down $4.3 to $1291.6. The precious metal was below its 20D MA (@ $1300) and below its 50D MA (@ $1318).

Copper Future (JUL 14) on Comex was down 5.1c to 302.15c/lb. The contract was above its 20D MA (@ 300.44c) and below its 50D MA (@ 310.7c). In Europe, the London Metal Exchange reported its copper inventories decreased 1750 tons to 233325 tons.

European Markets

ECB: ECB Public Holiday - Labour day

Germany and Austria markets are closed on Thursday for Labour Day

Today's Economic Events

UK 09:30: MAR M4 Money Supply (MoM): NA
US 13:30: MAR Personal Income: 0.4%
US 13:30: W16 Initial Jobless Claims (Thsd): 320
US 13:30: MAR Personal Spending: 0.6%
US 15:00: MAR Construction Spending (MoM): 0.5%
US 15:00: APR ISM - Manufacturing: 54.2
US 15:00: APR ISM - Price Paid: 59.5
US : APR Total Vehicule Sales (Mln): 16.2
US : APR Domestic Vehicule Sales (Mln): 12.8

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