Tuesday, August 13, 2013

Gold Likely To Crash As ETF’s Pull Out...

Gold is trading at 1333.70 flat in the Asian session as traders sell off to book profits after gold rallied. Gold prices in the futures markets are likely to be range-bound with a bias towards the downside in line with the global market. As it has been happening this year, the yellow metal once again is facing selling pressure. Investors are opting to sell at every rise and Monday’s over one per cent rise in the precious metal has given them an opportunity to cash in their investments. Data showed a climb in ETF purchases for the first time since June trader’s responded push up gold prices to recent highs. The market seems bent on hammering gold and that is one of the reasons why even data showing lower than expected growth are unable to drive it higher. The rise in gold holdings in exchange-traded funds did not happen on Monday as they were unchanged at 911.13 tonnes on SPDR Trust, world’s largest for gold.

Gold is taking a breather today after four days of gains but is holding near three-week highs on hopes that physical buyers and investors will return to the market.  The recent rally was sparked by the release of strong Chinese factory data on Friday which pushed up metals prices. The metal has gained over 4 per cent in the last four sessions through Monday, also profiting from US dollar weakness and a surprise rise in holdings of gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Gold rose nearly 2 per cent in the previous session on strong Chinese gold consumption and an inflow to SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s biggest gold ETF. The top eight gold ETFs have recorded outflows of about $US26 billion so far this year, hurting gold prices. A reversal in the trend will aid a price recovery.

China’s consumption of gold in the first six months of the year surged by more than half as sliding prices of the metal lured buyers, data showed, reinforcing expectations that the nation will overtake India as the world’s top gold consumer this year. Gold prices have lost about a fifth of their value this year after 12 years of gains, releasing pent-up demand across the world and particularly in India and China.

China consumed 706.36 tonnes of gold in the first half of 2013, up 54 per cent from the year-ago period, the China Gold Association said in a statement on its website.

Silver eased by close to 10 cents this morning after skyrocketing above the 21 price level on industrial demand and a rise in precious metals over the last few sessions. Silver is trading at 21.243 remaining strong against the gaining US dollar, which is trading at 81.44 this morning. Copper slipped while aluminum extended gains on Monday as signs of a pickup in top metals consumer China and expectations of encouraging eurozone data came up against a rise in the dollar.

 The U.S. commodities market regulator has subpoenaed a number of major metals warehousing firms, including Switzerland based commodities giant Glencore, seeking documents and communications from the last three years as an inquiry into complaints about inflated metals prices gathers steam. The metals warehousing scandal is weighing heavily on major US investment banks which control the prices and costs.

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