Tuesday, February 19, 2013

Gold: Time to get worried? Or greedy?

With gold falling sharply recently — and the gold ETF GLD -0.02% held in so many individual investors' portfolios these days — let's explore some smart work on the yellow metal.

Mark Dow continues to see gold declining: "all the 'tail-risk reasons' for owning gold and silver are melting away"

Kid Dynamite encourages some perspective on the gold price decline: "the 6 month chart looks ugly, the 1 year chart looks almost as ugly, the 2 year chart looks the best of all" 

Gwynn Guilford at Quartz explores how Chinese gold demand could impact prices going forward. 

Cam Hui compares the Amex Gold Bugs Index (HUI) of miners against the metal price and finds "my inner trader... wants to play the golds for a bounce." 

• Respected geologist/mining sector analyst Brent Cook came out very bearish recently on the gold miners. 

Mark Hulbert provides five reasons to avoid gold for anything other than the very long term. 

Gary Tanashian on how sentiment and technical analysis can help at a time like this for gold and gold miners: "It is okay to feel greedy now, in anticipation of coming opportunities in the precious metals." 

• At ZeroHedge, chartist Guy Lerner likes gold futures: "Despite the questionable fundamental picture, I believe this represents a good buying opportunity as price sits at support." 

Global Macro Monitor finds gold heavily oversold. 

This commentary does not constitute individualized investment advice. The opinions offered herein are not personalized recommendations to buy, sell or hold securities.

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