Thursday, September 11, 2014

EVENTS & FINANCIAL NEWS 11-09-2014

Market Comment

US indices rose on Wednesday led by shares in the Technology Hardware & Equipment, Pharmaceuticals, Biotechnology & Life Sciences and Banks secotrs. The S&P 500 (1995.69) remains above its 20d moving average (1988.5 - positive slope), and its 50d moving average (191.9 - positive slope).

European markets are expected to start on a flat note.

Foreign Exchange

The US Dollar was mixed on Wednesday, rising against the JPY and EUR, while falling against the GBP and CAD. On the economic data front, Wholesale Inventories rose 0.1% (0.5% expected) MoM in July. MBA Mortgage Applications fell 7.2% in the week ending September 5th.

The Euro was mixed, under pressure against the USD and GBP, while gaining against the JPY and CHF. In Europe, French industrial production was up by 0.2% in July after a 1.2% increase in June (revised from +1.3%). Economists anticipated a 0.5% decline.

The Australian Dollar fell against most of its major counterparts.

Commodities

After the close of Wall Street, WTI Crude Future (OCT 14) was down $1 to $91.78. The contract was below its 20D MA (@ $101) and below its 50D MA (@ $100.35). The US Department of Energy reported that, for the week ended 5 September, crude oil inventories fell 972k barrels compared to the previous week.

Gold was down $5.5 to $1250. The precious metal was below its 20D MA (@ $1280) and below its 50D MA (@ $1297).

Copper Future (DEC 14) on Comex was up 1.2c to 311.4c/lb. The contract was above its 20D MA (@ 307.41c) and above its 50D MA (@ 303.17c). In Europe, the London Metal Exchange reported its copper inventories increased 925 tons to 155625 tons.

UK Market News

UK: The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors House Price Balance fell to +40 in August (vs +47 expected) from +48 in July.

Royal Bank of Scotland Group said it has undertaken contingency planning for the possible business implications of a "Yes" vote resulting from the Scottish referendum, pointing out: " RBS believes that it would be necessary to re-domicile the Bank's holding company and its primary rated operating entity (The Royal Bank of Scotland plc) to England. In the event of a 'Yes' vote, the decision to re-domicile should have no impact on everyday banking services used by our customers throughout the British Isles. (...) Scotland has been RBS's home since 1727. RBS intends to retain a significant level of its operations and employment in Scotland to support its customers there and the activities of the whole Bank."
Oil & Gas personal & household goods and health care shares gained most in London on Wednesday.

European Markets

ECB: Participation by Mr Coeuré in panel "Revitalising the market for securitised loans in the EU" at Eurofi Financial Forum 2014 in Milan, Italy. (5:15pm CET)

Deutsche Lufthansa, Air Berlin: The German government is considering phasing out air traffic tax levied on flights from the country's airports, according to a senior government official cited by Reuters.

Today's Economic Events

GE 07:00: AUG Consumer Price Index (MoM): 0%
GE 07:00: AUG CPI - EU Harmonised (MoM): 0%
FR 07:45: AUG Consumer Price Index (MoM): 0.4%
FR 07:45: AUG CPI - EU Harmonised (MoM): 0.4%
US 13:30: W35 Initial Jobless Claims (Thsd): 300
US 19:00: AUG Monthly Budget Satement (Bln): -130

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Monday, August 18, 2014

EVENTS & FINANCIAL NEWS 18-08-2014

Market Comment

US indices were mixed on Friday. Shares in the Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment, Food, Beverage & Tobacco and Energy sectors traded higher while shares in the Food & Staples Retailing, Retailing and Automobiles & Components sectors were under pressure. The S&P 500 (1955.06) remains above its 20d moving average (1951.7 - negative slope), and below its 50d moving average (1957.1 - flat slope).

European markets are expected to start on a flat note.

Foreign Exchange

The US Dollar was under pressure against most of its major counterparts on Friday. On the economic data front, Empire Manufacturing was 14.69 (20 expected) in August. PPI Final Demand rose 0.1% MoM in July as expected. Industrial Production rose 0.4% (0.3% expected) MoM in July. The University of Michigan Consumer Confidence was 79.2 (82.5 expected) in August.

The Euro rose against most of its major counterparts. In Europe, UK GDP was revised at +3.2% for 2Q on a yearly basis vs +3.1% previously.

The Australian Dollar was mixed, rising against the USD and NZD, while falling against the EUR and JPY.

Commodities

After the close of Wall Street, WTI Crude Future (SEP 14) was up $1.5 to $97.03. The contract was below its 20D MA (@ $101) and below its 50D MA (@ $100.35). The 14d RSI below 30 (28.97) indicates WTI Crude Future (SEP 14) was oversold.

Gold was down $8.6 to $1304.9. The precious metal was above its 20D MA (@ $1303) and above its 50D MA (@ $1304).

Copper Future (DEC 14) on Comex was up 1.7c to 312.9c/lb. The contract was above its 20D MA (@ 307.41c) and above its 50D MA (@ 303.17c). In Europe, the London Metal Exchange reported its copper inventories decreased 50 tons to 141300 tons.

UK Market News

UK: Asking prices for homes fell 2.9% MoM (vs -0.8% in July) and those for homes in London dropped 5.9% (vs -0.4% in July), the biggest drop since December 2007, according to property website Rightmove.

Rio Tinto said it will review all options for its 53.8% stake in a copper mine in Papua New Guinea's Bougainville, citing "the new mining legislation passed earlier this month by the Autonomous Bougainville Government".

European Markets

ECB: Publication of the Euro area financial vehicle corporations statistics (10am CET)

Daimler's Mercedes-Benz brand has been found guilty in China of price manipulation over after-sales services, reported the Xinhua news agency citing government authorities.

Deutsche Telekom will consider buying smaller cable operators, according to the Co's German operations chief cited by the Focus magazine.

Today's Economic Events

EC 10:00: JUN Euro-Zone: Trade Balance (Bln): NA
EC 10:00: JUN Euro-Zone: Trade Balance (Bln) (MoM): NA
US 15:00: AUG NAHB Housing Market: 53

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Wednesday, August 6, 2014

EVENTS & FINANCIAL NEWS 06-08-2014

Market Comment

US indices dropped on Tuesday pressured by shares in the Energy, Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment and Utilities sectors. The S&P 500 (1920.21) remains below its 20d moving average (1965.9 - negative slope), and its 50d moving average (1954.9 - flat slope).

European markets are expected to start on a flat note.

Foreign Exchange

The US Dollar rose against most of its major counterparts on Tuesday, with the exception of the GBP. On the economic data front, US factory orders rose 1.1% (0.6% expected) MoM in June. The Markit US Services PMI matched expectations of 60.8 in July. The ISM Non-Manufacturing Composite was 58.7 (56.5 expected) in July.

The Euro was under pressure against most of its major counterparts. In Europe, euro-zone PMI composite index was 53.8 in July in final reading vs 54.4 in first estimation and 52.8 in July. Separately, euro zone retail sales were up by 0.4% in June after a 0.3% rise in May (revised from a flat reading). Economists anticipated them to increase 0.5%.

The Australian Dollar fell against all of its major counterparts.

Commodities

After the close of Wall Street, WTI Crude Future (SEP 14) was down $0.8 to $97.52. The contract was below its 20D MA (@ $101) and below its 50D MA (@ $100.35).

Gold was about flat to $1287.8. The precious metal was below its 20D MA (@ $1305) and below its 50D MA (@ $1295).

Copper Future (SEP 14) on Comex was down 4.3c to 320.1c/lb. The contract was above its 20D MA (@ 307.41c) and above its 50D MA (@ 303.17c). In Europe, the London Metal Exchange reported its copper inventories decreased 600 tons to 145575 tons.

Today's Economic Events

UK 09:30: JUN Industrial Production (MoM): 0.6%
UK 09:30: JUN Manufacturing Production (MoM): 0.6%
UK 15:00: JUL GDP Estimate (NIESR): NA
US 13:30: JUN Trade Balance (Bln): -44.8
US 15:30: W30 Crude Oil Inventories (WoW chg): -1500

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Tuesday, August 5, 2014

EVENTS & FINANCIAL NEWS 05-08-2014

Market Comment

US indices rose on Monday led by shares in the Energy, Diversified Financials and Retailing sectors. The S&P 500 (1938.99) remains below its 20d moving average (1968.1 - positive slope), and its 50d moving average (1954.5 - positive slope).

European markets are expected to start on a flat note.

Foreign Exchange

The US Dollar was mixed on Monday, rising against the EUR and CHF, while falling against the JPY and GBP. There was no major economic data.

The Euro was under pressure against most of its major counterparts. In Europe, according to Sentix, investor confidence index in euro zone plunged to 2.7 in August from 10.1 in July. Economists anticipated the index to be 9. Euro zone PPI index increased by 0.1% in June from a 0.1% decline the month before. Economists anticipated the index to be flat.

The Australian Dollar rose against all of its major counterparts.

Commodities

After the close of Wall Street, WTI Crude Future (SEP 14) was up $0.6 to $98.46. The contract was below its 20D MA (@ $101) and below its 50D MA (@ $100.35).

Gold was down $5 to $1288.4. The precious metal was below its 20D MA (@ $1307) and below its 50D MA (@ $1294).

Copper Future (SEP 14) on Comex was up 3.4c to 324.8c/lb. The contract was above its 20D MA (@ 307.41c) and above its 50D MA (@ 303.17c). In Europe, the London Metal Exchange reported its copper inventories decreased 25 tons to 146175 tons.

Today's Economic Events

EC 10:00: JUN Euro-Zone: Retail Trade (MoM): NA
US 15:00: JUN Factory Orders: 0.6%
US 15:00: JUL ISM - Non Manufacturing: 56.3

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Wednesday, July 30, 2014

EVENTS & FINANCIAL NEWS 30-07-2014

Market Comment

US indices closed lower on Tuesday pressured by shares in the Transportation, Capital Goods and Utilities sectors. On the economic data front, the Consumer Confidence Index was 90.9 (85.4 expected) in July. The S&P 500 (1969.95) broke below its 20d moving average (1975.37 - positive slope), but remains above its 50d moving average (1950.01 - positive slope).

European markets are expected to open on a negative note.

Foreign Exchange

The US Dollar rose against all of its major counterparts on Tuesday. On the economic data front, the Consumer Confidence Index was 90.9 (85.4 expected) in July. The Case Shiller Home Price Index was 170.64 (171.25 expected) in May.

The Euro was mixed, gaining against the CHF and NZD, while falling against the USD and HKD. In Europe, German import prices were up by 0.2% in June after being flat in May. Economists expected them to increase 0.3%. In UK, 67.2K mortgages have been approved in June, up from 62K in May.

The Australian Dollar was mixed, under pressure against the USD and HKD, while rising against the CHF and NZD. On the economic data front, HIA New Home Sales rose 1.2% MoM in June (-4.3% prior period).

Commodities

After the close of Wall Street, WTI Crude Future (SEP 14) was down $0.7 to $100.93. The contract was below its 20D MA (@ $101) and above its 50D MA (@ $100.35).

Gold was down $3.8 to $1300.3. The precious metal was below its 20D MA (@ $1313) and above its 50D MA (@ $1295).

Copper Future (SEP 14) on Comex was down 2.3c to 322.1c/lb. The contract was above its 20D MA (@ 307.41c) and above its 50D MA (@ 303.17c). In Europe, the London Metal Exchange reported its copper inventories decreased 1425 tons to 149475 tons.

Today's Economic Events

EC 10:00: JUL Euro-zone: Industrial Confidence: -4.3
EC 10:00: JUL Business Climate Indicator: 0.2
EC 10:00: JUL Euro-Zone: Economic Confidence: 101.9
EC 10:00: JUL Euro-Zone: Consumer Confidence: -8.4
GE 13:00: JUN Consumer Price Index (MoM): 0.2%
US 13:30: 1Q GDP (QoQ): 3%
US 13:30: 1Q GDP Price (QoQ): 1.8%
GE 13:00: JUN CPI - EU Harmonised (MoM): 0.2%
US 13:30: 1Q Personal Consumption: 1.9%
US 15:30: W29 Crude Oil Inventories (WoW chg): -1000
US 19:00: Fed: Rates decision: 0.25%

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Friday, July 25, 2014

EVENTS & FINANCIAL NEWS 25-07-2014

Market Comment

US indices were mixed on Thursday. Shares in the Consumer Durables & Apparel, Software & Services and Food, Beverage & Tobacco sectors traded higher while shares in the Automobiles & Components, Technology Hardware & Equipment and Capital Goods sectors were under pressure. The S&P 500 (1987.98) remains above its 20d moving average (1972.9 - positive slope) and its 50d moving average (1944.2 - positive slope).

European markets are expected to start on a flat note.

Foreign Exchange

The US Dollar was up against most of its major counterparts on Thursday. On the economic data front, US Initial Jobless claims were 284K (307K expected) for the week ending July 19th. Continuing Claims were 2.5M (2.51M expected) for the week ending July 12th. Markit US Manufacturing PMI was 56.3 (57.5 expected) in July. New Home Sales were 406K (475K expected) in June, an 8.1% decline MoM.

The Euro rose against most of its major counterparts. In Europe, euro zone PMI manufacturing was up to 51.9 in July in first estimation vs 51.8 the month before and 51.7 anticipated by economists. PMI services advanced to 54 from 52.8. Consensus anticipated PMI services to be flat. UK retails sales fell 0.1% in June after a 0.5% slid in May. Economists expected a 0.3% gain.

The Australian Dollar was under pressure against most of its major counterparts, with the exception of the NZD

Commodities

After the close of Wall Street, WTI Crude Future (SEP 14) was down $1.1 to $102.02. The contract was above its 20D MA (@ $101) and above its 50D MA (@ $100.35).

Gold was down $12 to $1292.6. The precious metal was below its 20D MA (@ $1316) and below its 50D MA (@ $1294).

Copper Future (SEP 14) on Comex was up 5.6c to 326.25c/lb. The contract was above its 20D MA (@ 307.41c) and above its 50D MA (@ 303.17c). In Europe, the London Metal Exchange reported its copper inventories decreased 1950 tons to 154350 tons.

European Markets

ECB: Publication of the National balance sheet of euro area monetary financial institutions, excluding the Eurosystem (10am CET)

Today's Economic Events

UK 09:30: 1Q GDP (QoQ): 0.8%
GE 09:00: JUL IFO - Business Climate: 109.4
GE 09:00: JUL IFO - Current Assessment: 114.5
GE 09:00: JUL IFO - Expectations: 104.4
EC 09:00: JUN Euro-zone: M3 (3 mth ave.): 1%
US 13:30: JUN Durable Goods Orders: 0.5%
US 13:30: JUN Durable Goods Ex Transportation: 0.5%

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Tuesday, July 15, 2014

EVENTS & FINANCIAL NEWS 15-07-2014

Market Comment

US indices rose on Monday led by shares in the Energy, Software & Services and Technology Hardware & Equipment sectors. The S&P 500 (1977.1) remains above its 20d moving average (1963.3 - positive slope) and its 50d moving average (1928.9 - positive slope).

European markets are expected to start on a positive note.

Foreign Exchange

The US Dollar was mixed on Monday, gaining against the JPY and GBP, while falling against the EUR and CAD. There was no major economic data released.

The Euro rose against most of its major counterparts. In Europe, euro zone industrial production was down by 1.1% in May after a 0.7% increase the month before. Economists anticipated a 1.2% decline.

The Australian Dollar was mixed, rising aginst the JPY and NZD, while falling against the EUR and CAD.

Commodities

After the close of Wall Street, WTI Crude Future (AUG 14) was about flat to $101.13. The contract was above its 20D MA (@ $101) and above its 50D MA (@ $100.35).

Gold was down $30.4 to $1308.2. The precious metal was below its 20D MA (@ $1317) and above its 50D MA (@ $1292).

Copper Future (SEP 14) on Comex was down 1.5c to 325.35c/lb. The contract was above its 20D MA (@ 307.41c) and above its 50D MA (@ 303.17c). In Europe, the London Metal Exchange reported its copper inventories increased 925 tons to 159400 tons.

UK Market News

UK: Total retail sales grew 0.6% YoY in Jun vs +2.0% in May, while like-for-like retail sales were down 0.8% vs +0.5% in May, reported the British Retail Consortium.

UK: The Ulster Bank Northern Ireland PMI was at 59.0 in June, down from 60.6 in May. The report pointed out: "The latest report indicated that activity rose for the twelfth month running, helped by a further increase in new business. With workloads continuing to rise, panellists increased their staffing levels. Meanwhile, both input costs and output prices rose at faster rates than in May."

European Markets

ECB: Publication of the Consolidated Financial Statement of the Eurosystem (3pm CET)

Deutsche Lufthansa will cut flights to Venezuela to 3 per week from 5 starting August due to a foreign exchange dispute with the country's government.

Today's Economic Events

UK 09:30: JUN PPI - Input (MoM): NA
UK 09:30: JUN PPI - Output (MoM): NA
UK 09:30: JUN CPI - EU Harmonised (MoM): NA
GE 10:00: JUL Zew Survey (Econ. Sentiment): NA
GE 10:00: JUL Zew Survey (Current Situation): NA
US 13:30: JUL Empire Manufacturing: 17.3
US 13:30: JUN Retail Sales: 0.6%
US 13:30: JUN Retail Sales less Autos: 0.5%
US 15:00: MAY Business Inventories: 0.6%

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